Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.481589 9.936931 11.530680 13.400714 15.529721 17.872897 20.641606
2025-12-21 5.832331 7.734604 10.042945 13.026735 16.755371 21.232899 26.985372
2025-12-28 4.685860 6.850120 9.693504 13.647546 18.939503 25.705758 34.926777
2026-01-04 3.855744 6.127697 9.320137 14.037085 20.712602 29.686946 42.498495
2026-01-11 3.166102 5.430614 8.811677 14.083468 21.916898 32.912331 49.240728
2026-01-18 2.643901 4.866814 8.375413 14.118021 23.028865 36.019369 55.982443
2026-01-25 2.159280 4.260749 7.762015 13.765710 23.471808 38.132170 61.387764
2026-02-01 1.777977 3.751995 7.215494 13.421010 23.844155 40.110184 66.671372
2026-02-08 1.439177 3.250088 6.595934 12.855923 23.769417 41.345609 70.852512
2026-02-15 1.183336 2.854138 6.098262 12.422385 23.839352 42.772028 75.377799
2026-02-22 1.064954 2.714769 6.053382 12.785514 25.289793 46.521407 83.843015
2026-03-01 0.966038 2.597309 6.031199 13.180104 26.816845 50.485367 92.885211
2026-03-08 0.801966 2.310465 5.651012 12.893571 27.179821 52.664854 99.402911
2026-03-15 0.656738 2.035841 5.256382 12.538039 27.402448 54.666328 105.862163
2026-03-22 0.601587 1.976280 5.322924 13.139780 29.522045 60.212475 118.881811
2026-03-29 0.538773 1.880007 5.288149 13.516920 31.227097 65.117373 131.069863
2026-04-05 0.466305 1.736431 5.114760 13.561849 32.254453 68.822338 141.308898
2026-04-12 0.404090 1.605426 4.947932 13.595293 33.252126 72.528664 151.765298
2026-04-19 0.335650 1.433058 4.641244 13.254397 33.408182 74.599161 159.266067
2026-04-26 0.278808 1.280206 4.355909 12.920900 33.536961 76.608278 166.752029
2026-05-03 0.224794 1.117199 4.007394 12.374257 33.121232 77.470775 172.043875
2026-05-10 0.183674 0.986845 3.725567 11.954939 32.946331 78.799832 178.314229
2026-05-17 0.167402 0.952362 3.730869 12.306153 34.624968 84.130613 192.910441